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Crown Green Handicap

Keith Williams

Team: Rainhill ADivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

967

Current Handicap

8
Honours
Season:

50

Matches Played

21

Wins

29

Losses

42%

Win Rate

9.2

Avg Win Margin

9.8

Avg Loss Margin

16-13

Home Record

5-16

Away Record

47%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
28 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/12/2026

Only 28 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player5/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 50 matches

+8 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

4 May5 Jul23 Aug7 Jun12 Jun6 May22 Jul1 Jul12 Aug-1259

Gives 8 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current8
Win Percentage(40%)
43%
score-0.14→contribution-0.06
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.3
score+0.22→contribution+0.06
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.3
score-0.38→contribution-0.06
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
45%
score-0.10→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
933
score-0.24→contribution-0.02
Weighted Score-0.091
Sample Size Confidence
47%(28/41 matches)
Rating973 → shrunk 987→ adjusted 962
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)976
Recency Blend37% (28 recent matches)
Final Rating967
Handicap
8

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

21W29L50 matches·42% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Rainhill Bar2022–2023Division 12291340.9%
Rainhill Bar A2024–2025Division 11771041.2%
Rainhill A2026Division 195455.6%
Lane Ends C2026Division 32020%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/12/2026George MarshH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
8/5/2026Tex AllenH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
7/29/2026Alan WrightH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 3
7/22/2026AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 1
7/15/2026Tommy EvansH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
7/7/2026W PenningtonA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 3
7/1/2026B WhalleyH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
6/17/2026AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 1
6/9/2026Peter CaseA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
5/20/2026Ray HayesH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
4/15/2026David Blackburn-WoodsH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
8/19/2025Mike BeardA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
7/22/2025Mike HavernA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
7/8/2025Colin WilsonA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
6/25/2025Ron SingletonH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
6/17/2025John CloughA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
6/11/2025Stephen TinsleyH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
5/14/2025Connor FlahertyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
5/6/2025Mike WinrowA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
4/16/2025Neil WinstanleyH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
4/9/2025Phil AspinallH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
7/3/2024John MolloyH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
6/25/2024Steve JohnsonA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
6/18/2024Phil AspinallA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
6/12/2024Neil HiltonH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
6/4/2024Steve DugganA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
5/29/2024Keith MakinH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
5/1/2024Tony RobinsonH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
9/19/2023AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 1
8/9/2023Carl DoyleH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
6/7/2023Keith MitchinsonH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
5/10/2023Ged HopeH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
5/2/2023Michael PollockA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 1
4/25/2023Connor FlahertyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
4/11/2023Ronnie BelshawA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
9/6/2022Alan WaterworthA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 1
8/23/2022Graham GloverA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
8/17/2022Roy PearceH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 1
8/9/2022Jimmy NolanA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
8/3/2022Chris PriceH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
7/20/2022Dave HoldenH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
7/12/2022Simon TaylorA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
7/5/2022Tony RobinsonA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
6/21/2022Derek RoylanceA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
6/1/2022Derek PeachH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
5/24/2022Jason FinneyA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
5/18/2022Steve LeeH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
5/10/2022Mark WebsterA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1
5/4/2022John DalzielH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
4/27/2022Jeff BarlowH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WLLWW
Last 1050% win rate— steady
WLLWWLLWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Absent303100%7/22/2026
Connor Flaherty0220%5/14/2025
Phil Aspinall0220%4/9/2025
Tony Robinson11250%5/1/2024
George Marsh101100%8/12/2026
Tex Allen0110%8/5/2026
Alan Wright0110%7/29/2026
Tommy Evans101100%7/15/2026
W Pennington0110%7/7/2026
B Whalley0110%7/1/2026
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)7/22/2026
Heaviest Defeat
W Pennington (-15)7/7/2026
Favourite Victim
Absent3-0 H2H
Best Season
202645% · 11 matches
Worst Season
202240% · 15 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
44% → 40%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
93850 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
5-1723% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
16-1257% win rate

By Division

Division 121-27 (44%)
Division 30-2 (0%)
Division 143.8%
21W·27L·48 played
Division 30%
0W·2L·2 played

Debut

Apr 27, 2022

Latest

Aug 12, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

10.0 (50 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026